Expert tips: Kembla Grange - 15/03/24

Racing & Sports expert selections.

RSN Racing.
RSN Racing. Picture: RSN

RACE 1 - KING CARLOS (3) solid debut four weeks ago over an unsuitable trip when a gritty fifth over 1200m at Newcastle. Fitter now and ready for this trip and further from the good draw. Finds a fairly weak race today. ICONIC MISS (10) fourth-up here after having to work hard early from an awkward gate when a tiring tenth over 1400m at Wagga on February 26. Go on previous runs when assessing her chances. STONEGATE LANE (5) jumped sharply in trip when a dismal seventh over 1850m at Newcastle two weeks ago. Go on prior run at Wyong when a close-up sixth over the 1600m. Trained on the track and maps well. ASTERIDE (11) will find this more to her liking after finishing tenth at Randwick in the G2 Sweet Embrace over 1200m on March 2. Trained on the track and improving with racing.

RACE 2 - BRAZIL (1) well bred gelding who improved sharply when back in grade to finish third over 1300m at Newcastle on March 2. Racing like this trip will suit and sure to be strong late. AIR COMBAT (4) hardly set the world alight in two outings and worth another chance after catching the eye late when sixth over 1600m at Newcastle on March 2. Should get the right tempo and improvement expected. CHENTILEENO (7) at his top now after looming late when a close second over 1600m here on February 29. Has the ability to overcome the wide gate. SEACORE (14) mixing his form this time in and go on close-up fourth two runs back at Wyong when assessing his chances. Trained on the track and gets all the map favours.

RACE 3 - NOTABADBUY (1) handy staying type racing in a rich vein of form. Went out hard with the 60kg when a tiring fourth over 2110m at Warwick Farm in BM72 class on March 6. Backs-up quickly and will take catching with the claim. WILSHIRE BOULEVARD (5) undefeated this track and will appreciate the sharp drop in class after sticking on well to secure fourth over 2400m at Rosehill in BM78 grade on February 28. Carries no weight again with the claim and maps to get the right run. Genuine contender. INSIDER TRADER (2) tough old stayer who bounced back to form with a well deserved nose victory over 2300m at Newcastle on March 8. Goes well this trip and can take a hand in the finish. AMALGAMATION (7) Gold Coast-trained gelding who caught the eye late from last on the turn when a sound seventh over 2200m at Ipswich two weeks ago. Drop in weight suits and not to be underestimated.

RACE 4 - Tough race. KIRRAGIRL (10) third-up today and indicated a win was imminent when sat on the speed for a close-up second over 1200m at Rosehill on February 28. Maps to get the right run and will prove hard to hold out. BOTTLER (2) placed at both career runs and looks to have a future. Went out hard when a gritty third over 1200m at Newcastle on February 26. Jay Ford sticks and he looks one of the genuine top-three chances. HELLDANCER (8) two runs back have been encouraging and steps out to the 1200m for the first time this prep. Brings the right figures and looks close to shedding her maiden status. TERNINI (7) surprised at debut ($101), when a fast finishing second over 900m at Newcastle on March 2. Can go on with the job here.

RACE 5 - GARZA BLANCA (6) exciting entire resuming. Undefeated this trip after finishing a close-up eighth in the G3 Rising Fast (Chatham) Stakes at Flemington four-and-a-half months ago. Fitted with two trials and expected to sprint well fresh. RUSSIAN CONQUEST (5) classy mare resuming with a sound first-up record. Will find this more to her liking after running into some handy types last time in. Has looked strong in two trials and will get the right run. Group 3 placegetter WAIHAHA FALLS (1) has been kept fresh and back in trip after finishing fourth over 1400m at Randwick in the LR Carrington on January 27. Look for him late from the wide gate. Group 3 placegetter KEY LARGO (3) is smart on his day and should get the right race tempo for this. Not that far away again when ninth over 1100m at Rosehill on February 24. Looking for the 1200m and another who will be giving away a big start.

RACE 6 - MOVADER (4) mixing her form in stronger company and close to her peak now fourth-up. Taken back from the outside draw and happy to overlook after finishing seventh in a 1200m contest at Canterbury three weeks ago. Finds her right race today and should be able to race closer from the good gate. Expected to go close. LOS PADRES (1) improving gelding who created a big impression second-up with a fast finishing 2.25 len victory over 1200m at Goulburn on March 1. Claim helps and should handle the extra 200m. No reason he can't win again. MONTEBELLO'S CHARM (14) first-up after three months started favourite in easier company when a soft 0.5 len winner over 1200m at Moruya on March 3. Best figures can see him take this out. OWARI (2) resumes today after showing ability when stretching out in trip last time in. Since fitted with two solid trials and looks forward enough for this.

RACE 7 - ARCTIC GLAMOUR (1) above average filly who looks close to her top now after two runs back. Raced without luck this time in, including latest tenth in the G1 Surround Stakes over 1400m at Randwick o March 2. This easier and will take plenty of stopping. Group 3 placegetter KIND WORDS (6) is another desperate for this trip after running an encouraging ninth over 1200m in the G2 Light Fingers Stakes at Randwick on February 17. Kept ticking over with a searching 1200m trial at Randwick on March 7. Blinkers come off and no excuses from the soft gate. Multiple Group 1 placegetter TUTTA LA VITA (2) returned at ($101) from a four-month spell with a surprise third over 1400m in the G1 Surround Stakes at Randwick on March 2. Wide gate will make it tough and look for her late. QUEEN OF DRAGONS (5) only the one win from 10 starts but has a ton of ability. Fitter after one run back and looks good value from an inside draw.

RACE 8 - VAIN INVADER (1) holding form well and will find this more to his liking after bumping into the classy Tavi Time when third over 1400m at Newcastle on March 2. Goes well this track and should prove too strong for these with the claim. EXTREME FREEDOM (3) due for a change of luck and much better effort when sat on the speed for a gritty fourth over 1600m at this track on March 5. Backs-up quickly and gets map favours. TIGER TOWN (12) mixing form of late and comes out of a strong race after finishing sixth in the Guineas Preview over 1400m at Canberra on February 23. Trip shouldn't pose a problem and has each way claims. THIS IS THE MOMENT (7) lightly raced gelding with ability. Up in trip when sat on the speed for a gritty third over this track and trip on February 29. Gets map favours again and will take holding out.